The 2026 midterms preview.

The article previews the 2026 midterms, 35 days out, covering all 435 House seats, 35 Senate seats, and thousands of state offices. Election models currently favor Democrats to retake the House and give them a slight Senate edge. The author presents right-leaning arguments that Republicans could outperform expectations and left-leaning arguments that the GOP faces major losses, then uses the 2022 midterms, where a predicted red wave failed, as a caution against confident predictions. He declines to make a firm prediction himself.