Post Context

The number is real, roughly. FBI's "First Look: 2025 Crime Data," a preliminary release covering about 17,075 agencies, put murder down 18.1%, robbery down 18.5%, rape down 7.6%, and aggravated assault down 7.2% from 2024 to 2025. FBI Director Kash Patel called it the largest single-year drop in violent crime and murder since 1937 — 88 years, not quite "100," but in the neighborhood, and the FBI's own framing rather than a stretch.

What the clip skips: this is preliminary data, not the finalized "Crime in the Nation" report that comes later, and the decline didn't start on Blanche's watch. The Council on Criminal Justice had already tracked violent crime falling since 2022, and Axios reported the murder rate was nearing a two-decade low in Biden's final year, 2024. So "it happens when you back the blue" credits federal leadership for a trend that predates this administration by several years — criminologists point instead to the post-pandemic reversal, economic conditions, and local policing, which drives most of this data.

Separately, an FBI spokesperson pushed back hard on some adjacent claims Trump made about the same numbers on Truth Social, calling them false — worth noting since the underlying data has become a point of dispute even within the administration's own telling of it.

• FBI: First Look 2025 Crime Data
• Axios: murder rate nears century low
• Fox News: FBI reports largest drop since 1937